3 Underrated NFL Teams Poised to Exceed Over/Under Projections in 2024

The DraftKings Sportsbook recently published their over/under win totals for the 2024 NFL season, and some projections raise eyebrows. While the Kansas City Chiefs’ 11.5 over/under isn’t shocking, other teams appear significantly undervalued. Let’s delve into three teams primed to surpass expectations.

Tennessee Titans: A Sleeper Pick at 5.5 Wins?

DraftKings set the Titans’ over/under at a surprisingly low 5.5 wins. This projection seems puzzling, considering their five-win 2023 season and subsequent significant roster upgrades. The Titans acquired notable talents like wide receiver Calvin Ridley, running back Tony Pollard, center Lloyd Cushenberry, and cornerbacks Chidobe Awuzie and L’Jarius Sneed.

While Derrick Henry’s departure is a loss, Pollard, despite a lackluster 2023, potentially offers a more dynamic option due to his youth and fresher legs. The AFC South, while competitive, lacks dominant powerhouses, presenting winnable games for the Titans.

The potent receiving duo of Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins, coupled with a strengthened defense, could significantly elevate the Titans’ offensive and defensive capabilities. The biggest question mark remains Will Levis, entering his first full season as a starting quarterback. However, even with Levis’ uncertainty, 5.5 wins seem unduly low. If Levis performs adequately, the Titans could become a formidable force in their division.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Defying History with 8.5 Wins?

Initially set at a shocking 7.5, the Steelers’ over/under now stands at 8.5 wins, which still feels conservative. The Steelers haven’t had a losing season since 2003. Falling short of 8.5 wins would break a two-decade streak of success.

Last season, despite quarterback instability with Kenny Pickett, Mason Rudolph, and Mitchell Trubisky, Pittsburgh achieved a 10-7 record. The acquisition of Russell Wilson at quarterback further strengthens their prospects for 2024.

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While the loss of Diontae Johnson stings, the Steelers retain offensive weapons like George Pickens, running backs Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren, and tight end Pat Freiermuth. Wilson’s performance will be pivotal. A strong season from him positions Pittsburgh for success. However, even if Wilson struggles, the team has Justin Fields as a potential backup solution. Despite the challenging AFC North division, the Steelers’ consistent track record suggests they are likely to exceed 8.5 wins.

Cleveland Browns: A Winning Formula at 8.5 Wins?

Similar to the Steelers, the Browns navigated quarterback turmoil in 2023, securing 11 wins and a playoff berth. Despite utilizing five quarterbacks, they finished strong with Joe Flacco leading them to a 4-1 record.

Deshaun Watson’s return from shoulder surgery introduces a significant variable. However, even with uncertainty surrounding Watson, it’s difficult to envision him underperforming compared to a 39-year-old Flacco or PJ Walker.

The addition of Jerry Jeudy bolsters a receiving corps already featuring Amari Cooper and Elijah Moore, creating a potentially explosive offense. Combined with one of the league’s best defenses, the Browns appear poised for another strong season. While the AFC North remains a tough division, the Browns’ defensive strength and offensive potential point towards a winning record, exceeding the 8.5 win projection. Watson’s recovery and performance will undoubtedly be crucial for Cleveland’s success in 2024. A return to his pre-injury form could propel the Browns to contender status.